Friday, February 20, 2009

How will the "Client State" thesis play out in the general election?

Just thought you might be interested in this blog by Mike Smithson over at Political Betting .

What appears to be the most significant point is that "....Conventional telephone polling seems to reach many more public sector workers than their numbers in the adult population suggest and in each poll since the change (in its methodology) MORI has (had) to scale their influence back quite considerably. In almost every monthly survey the public sector respondees have been well over double what they should be and the numbers adjusted accordingly."

As a former public sector worker myself I always had the feeling that most of my colleagues - oh, sod it, I'll just come out and say it - all of them, were more likely to vote Labour as they felt the money would just keep coming in to expand their own particular little empires and increase their salaries beyond their wildest dreams.

But why are they so over-represented in telephone polling? Ideas?